Facts not on union’s side

You know you’ve hit a nerve when the opposition resorts to misleading arguments.

Today’s Newsday features an article where the Long Island Labor Federation dismisses a new report by the Long Island Association projecting significant job losses resulting from a $15 an hour minimum wage. The Newsday story is here. (it is behind a paywall, sorry)

According to the Federation, the LIA’s report projecting job losses of up to 23,000 is “disproved” by “numerous” studies, and cites a letter from “600 economists” to President Obama arguing that a minimum wage increase won’t hurt jobs. The Long Island Federation of Labor is being completely disingenuous. Five seconds of searching on the web finds the letter being referred to here. While the federation is right, “600 economists” do support an increase in the federal minimum wage, the proposed increase is from $7.25 to $10.10 an hour. That’s nowhere near $15 an hour, the target wage that was the focus of the LIA’s analysis and a recent Empire Center report. In fact, New York’s minimum wage is already set to go to $9 at the end of the year, a level close to the 600 economists’ target level. At $9, New York’s minimum wage will be one of the highest in the U.S.

We are unaware of “numerous” other studies that “disprove” the projections from the Empire Center and the Long Island Association on a $15/hour minimum wage. Most studies we have seen look at far lower target levels. For example, a CBO study issued in 2014 suggested that a $10.10/hr. minimum wage would reduce national employment by 500,000. That same study conceded that the actual job impact could be “very slight” or climb as high as 1 million. New York is talking about going well beyond $10.10 an hour and the only credible studies to date indicate significant job loss.